Concept  ·  Glossary

Catastrophic risk threshold (pre-mitigation capability)

A specific danger level — such as the ability to meaningfully help someone create a weapon — that AI labs test their models against before release, and try to suppress with safety training ('mitigation'). A frontier lab recently acknowledged, for the first time publicly, that it could not fully rule out one of its shipped models crossing this threshold before mitigations were applied.
This is a watershed moment in AI safety transparency: it shows that even leading labs cannot always prove their safety measures work before a model reaches the public, which is central to debates over mandatory pre-release evaluation.
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