What happened
RAND's Center for the Geopolitics of Artificial General Intelligence lays out seven archetypal U.S. strategic postures toward superintelligence — from pursuing AI supremacy by monopolizing the frontier, to co-developing with rivals, deterrence, or a pause/freeze — and argues that current evidence cannot resolve five pivotal uncertainties determining which is most feasible. Rather than committing prematurely or deferring indefinitely, the authors recommend a 'Freedom of Action' strategy: building and preserving optionality to secure geopolitical advantage and 'ensure humanity's survival with agency' through the transition to superintelligence.
Why it matters
Frames the highest-level strategic choice facing U.S. AI policy for national security and executive audiences engaging with government on AI strategy, export controls, or competitive positioning.
Action needed
Map current organizational AI strategy and government-engagement posture against the report's seven archetypal strategies to identify strategic blind spots.